Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.023601 0.025379 0.027234 0.029316 0.031589 0.033998 0.036749
2024-12-29 0.020504 0.023011 0.025761 0.029011 0.032760 0.036961 0.042046
2025-01-05 0.018391 0.021306 0.024627 0.028709 0.033620 0.039369 0.046660
2025-01-12 0.016629 0.019753 0.023420 0.028073 0.033864 0.040892 0.050154
2025-01-19 0.015668 0.019025 0.023070 0.028350 0.035126 0.043620 0.055220
2025-01-26 0.014731 0.018227 0.022539 0.028306 0.035909 0.045721 0.059551
2025-02-02 0.014096 0.017748 0.022347 0.028641 0.037152 0.048438 0.064839
2025-02-09 0.013299 0.016998 0.021743 0.028367 0.037526 0.049969 0.068550
2025-02-16 0.012650 0.016398 0.021286 0.028239 0.038058 0.051709 0.072632
2025-02-23 0.012034 0.015800 0.020790 0.028012 0.038412 0.053184 0.076390
2025-03-02 0.011550 0.015352 0.020465 0.027992 0.039036 0.055058 0.080844
2025-03-09 0.010986 0.014763 0.019911 0.027602 0.039084 0.056060 0.083992
2025-03-16 0.010405 0.014126 0.019265 0.027052 0.038868 0.056664 0.086577
2025-03-23 0.009958 0.013661 0.018838 0.026798 0.039078 0.057919 0.090294
2025-03-30 0.009541 0.013217 0.018420 0.026528 0.039236 0.059088 0.093932
2025-04-06 0.009067 0.012668 0.017821 0.025950 0.038871 0.059384 0.096083
2025-04-13 0.008855 0.012495 0.017768 0.026202 0.039830 0.061874 0.102206
2025-04-20 0.008579 0.012214 0.017538 0.026162 0.040307 0.063581 0.107055
2025-04-27 0.008409 0.012084 0.017529 0.026468 0.041360 0.066313 0.113964
2025-05-04 0.008112 0.011747 0.017187 0.026218 0.041466 0.067413 0.117907
2025-05-11 0.007864 0.011477 0.016935 0.026102 0.041786 0.068897 0.122679
2025-05-18 0.007608 0.011186 0.016639 0.025895 0.041934 0.070075 0.126936
2025-05-25 0.007410 0.010975 0.016462 0.025876 0.042404 0.071855 0.132516